Seasonality
AAL seasonality — American Airlines Group
Over the last 11 years, AAL's strongest month on average has been November (+7.1%) and its weakest March (-9.4%).
Average return by month
Month-by-month statistics
| Month | Avg | Median | Up % | Best | Worst | Yrs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | +1.90% | +0.32% | 50% | +26.9% | -13.2% | 10 |
| Feb | -0.58% | -0.26% | 40% | +22.0% | -29.0% | 10 |
| Mar | -9.40% | -8.23% | 20% | +14.1% | -36.0% | 10 |
| Apr | -3.29% | -3.58% | 40% | +9.0% | -17.4% | 10 |
| May | +2.21% | +4.89% | 60% | +25.0% | -20.3% | 10 |
| Jun | +3.55% | +1.23% | 50% | +24.5% | -29.0% | 10 |
| Jul | -3.86% | -5.00% | 40% | +8.1% | -15.5% | 10 |
| Aug | -2.07% | -3.71% | 30% | +17.4% | -13.8% | 10 |
| Sep | -2.30% | +0.83% | 50% | +6.2% | -15.9% | 10 |
| Oct | +1.54% | -3.58% | 40% | +19.2% | -15.1% | 10 |
| Nov | +7.10% | +7.84% | 78% | +25.3% | -7.9% | 9 |
| Dec | +2.43% | +2.29% | 70% | +20.0% | -20.0% | 10 |
Monthly returns heat map — AAL
price return, %| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -13.2 | -1.7 | -17.8 | 9.0 | 25.0 | 23.4 | -15.5 | -12.1 | -0.5 | -5.8 | 4.6 | -14.0% | |
| 2025 | -2.9 | -15.2 | -26.5 | -5.7 | 14.7 | -1.7 | 2.4 | 16.4 | -15.9 | 16.8 | 7.0 | 9.1 | -12.1% |
| 2024 | 3.6 | 10.2 | -2.1 | -12.0 | -14.9 | -1.5 | -6.1 | -0.2 | 5.8 | 19.2 | 8.4 | 20.0 | +26.9% |
| 2023 | 26.9 | -1.0 | -7.7 | -7.5 | 8.4 | 21.4 | -6.6 | -12.1 | -13.0 | -13.0 | 11.5 | 10.5 | +8.0% |
| 2022 | -8.3 | 4.7 | 5.8 | 2.9 | -4.8 | -29.0 | 8.1 | -5.2 | -7.3 | 17.8 | 1.8 | -11.8 | -29.2% |
| 2021 | 8.9 | 22.0 | 14.1 | -9.1 | 11.6 | -12.5 | -3.9 | -2.2 | 2.9 | -6.4 | -7.9 | 1.5 | +13.9% |
| 2020 | -6.4 | -29.0 | -36.0 | -1.5 | -12.6 | 24.5 | -14.9 | 17.4 | -5.8 | -8.2 | 25.3 | 11.6 | -45.0% |
| 2019 | 11.4 | -0.4 | -10.9 | 7.6 | -20.3 | 19.8 | -6.4 | -13.8 | 2.5 | 11.5 | -4.4 | -0.2 | -10.7% |
| 2018 | 4.4 | -0.1 | -4.2 | -17.4 | 1.4 | -12.8 | 4.2 | 2.4 | 2.1 | -15.1 | 14.5 | -20.0 | -38.3% |
| 2017 | -5.2 | 4.8 | -8.8 | 0.8 | 13.6 | 4.0 | 0.2 | -11.3 | 6.2 | -1.4 | 7.8 | 3.0 | +11.4% |
| 2016 | 0.5 |