Seasonality
AGO seasonality — Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Over the last 11 years, AGO's strongest month on average has been October (+6.6%) and its weakest March (-6.6%).
Average return by month
Month-by-month statistics
| Month | Avg | Median | Up % | Best | Worst | Yrs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | +3.57% | +5.09% | 80% | +13.5% | -6.5% | 10 |
| Feb | +4.13% | +2.28% | 60% | +23.7% | -11.0% | 10 |
| Mar | -6.59% | -4.57% | 40% | +6.4% | -36.8% | 10 |
| Apr | +2.77% | +1.63% | 70% | +20.3% | -13.4% | 10 |
| May | -4.21% | -3.78% | 30% | +6.7% | -14.3% | 10 |
| Jun | +1.72% | +1.82% | 60% | +8.0% | -5.9% | 10 |
| Jul | +2.96% | +4.24% | 80% | +8.9% | -10.6% | 10 |
| Aug | -3.03% | -2.69% | 20% | +4.7% | -12.5% | 10 |
| Sep | -1.84% | -0.28% | 50% | +4.5% | -11.3% | 10 |
| Oct | +6.56% | +4.52% | 70% | +22.2% | -5.3% | 10 |
| Nov | +6.37% | +8.83% | 78% | +18.0% | -11.9% | 9 |
| Dec | -0.21% | -1.00% | 40% | +10.2% | -6.7% | 10 |
Monthly returns heat map — AGO
price return, %| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -5.6 | 1.6 | -5.5 | 0.5 | -9.4 | 8.0 | 3.2 | -9.7 | -9.3 | 4.1 | 4.2 | -18.3% | |
| 2025 | 5.1 | -7.7 | 0.9 | -0.4 | -3.6 | 3.0 | -2.9 | -2.8 | 3.0 | -4.8 | 12.4 | -0.7 | -0.2% |
| 2024 | 8.4 | 12.9 | -4.8 | -12.1 | 1.3 | -0.7 | 6.8 | -2.8 | -0.7 | 5.0 | 11.8 | -3.5 | +20.3% |
| 2023 | 0.6 | -0.3 | -19.4 | 7.2 | -3.9 | 7.8 | 7.1 | -1.6 | 2.9 | 3.1 | 8.8 | 10.2 | +20.2% |
| 2022 | 6.2 | 16.3 | 2.7 | -13.4 | 6.7 | -5.2 | 4.7 | -12.5 | -5.1 | 22.2 | 12.5 | -6.5 | +24.0% |
| 2021 | 13.5 | 23.7 | -4.4 | 20.3 | -6.3 | -0.3 | 0.7 | 4.3 | -6.1 | 18.7 | -11.9 | 2.5 | +59.4% |
| 2020 | -6.5 | -11.0 | -36.8 | 15.3 | -12.8 | -5.9 | -10.6 | -1.7 | 0.1 | 18.9 | 18.0 | 4.5 | -35.8% |
| 2019 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 6.4 | 7.4 | -14.3 | 3.0 | 3.8 | -2.6 | 4.5 | 5.5 | 5.8 | -1.3 | +28.1% |
| 2018 | 5.1 | -2.8 | 4.7 | 0.2 | -2.2 | 0.7 | 8.9 | 4.7 | 3.7 | -5.3 | 2.1 | -6.2 | +13.0% |
| 2017 | 3.0 | 5.7 | -9.7 | 2.8 | 2.4 | 6.9 | 7.8 | -5.5 | -11.3 | -1.7 | -2.1 | -6.7 | -10.3% |
| 2016 | 5.6 |