Seasonality
ARR seasonality — Armour Residential REIT
Over the last 11 years, ARR's strongest month on average has been November (+5.5%) and its weakest September (-6.5%).
Average return by month
Month-by-month statistics
| Month | Avg | Median | Up % | Best | Worst | Yrs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | +0.57% | -0.80% | 40% | +11.6% | -9.0% | 10 |
| Feb | -2.27% | -1.70% | 50% | +8.1% | -13.5% | 10 |
| Mar | -6.06% | -1.37% | 40% | +8.7% | -51.3% | 10 |
| Apr | -1.90% | -2.55% | 40% | +6.0% | -12.6% | 10 |
| May | -0.93% | -1.57% | 40% | +8.0% | -11.4% | 10 |
| Jun | +2.19% | +0.98% | 60% | +19.9% | -6.9% | 10 |
| Jul | -0.50% | -1.75% | 40% | +11.8% | -8.9% | 10 |
| Aug | -1.66% | -1.28% | 40% | +4.5% | -9.8% | 10 |
| Sep | -6.55% | -2.14% | 20% | +2.0% | -31.4% | 10 |
| Oct | -4.38% | -2.70% | 30% | +9.2% | -31.4% | 10 |
| Nov | +5.55% | +3.17% | 89% | +20.8% | -6.9% | 9 |
| Dec | +0.37% | +0.59% | 60% | +9.8% | -7.4% | 10 |
Monthly returns heat map — ARR
price return, %| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -1.6 | 3.2 | -7.1 | 5.2 | -2.2 | 1.8 | -5.6 | -1.5 | -14.7 | -10.0 | 1.2 | -28.8% | |
| 2025 | -0.2 | 1.2 | -10.2 | -3.7 | -1.6 | 3.7 | -3.0 | -6.1 | -2.4 | 8.6 | 8.0 | 1.0 | -6.2% |
| 2024 | -1.4 | 3.9 | -0.1 | -8.1 | 6.4 | 0.2 | 4.2 | 1.2 | -0.2 | -8.1 | 0.9 | -0.3 | -2.4% |
| 2023 | 11.6 | -13.5 | -3.3 | -2.9 | -1.6 | 6.2 | -4.1 | -3.9 | -13.4 | -31.4 | 20.8 | 9.8 | -31.4% |
| 2022 | -4.4 | -13.3 | 3.3 | -12.6 | 3.0 | -6.9 | 11.8 | -9.8 | -31.4 | 9.2 | 10.5 | -4.2 | -42.6% |
| 2021 | 3.5 | 8.1 | 1.1 | 1.9 | -3.5 | -4.8 | -8.9 | 4.4 | -0.7 | -2.4 | -6.9 | 0.2 | -9.1% |
| 2020 | 7.8 | -6.1 | -51.3 | 0.3 | -11.4 | 19.9 | -0.5 | 3.8 | -1.9 | 0.3 | 10.9 | 2.0 | -39.6% |
| 2019 | 2.5 | -4.6 | -2.6 | -2.3 | -8.8 | 7.1 | -4.1 | -8.1 | 2.0 | -0.1 | 3.2 | 3.5 | -12.8% |
| 2018 | -9.0 | -8.5 | 8.7 | -2.8 | 2.4 | -1.6 | 4.2 | -1.1 | -4.5 | -3.0 | 1.6 | -7.4 | -20.3% |
| 2017 | -3.1 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 8.0 | -3.8 | 1.0 | 4.5 | 1.9 | -6.9 | 1.0 | 1.7 | +18.6% |
| 2016 | -2.5 |