Seasonality
ERIE seasonality — Erie Indemnity
Over the last 11 years, ERIE's strongest month on average has been June (+5.4%) and its weakest April (-2.4%).
Average return by month
Month-by-month statistics
| Month | Avg | Median | Up % | Best | Worst | Yrs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | -0.02% | -1.14% | 30% | +9.8% | -4.4% | 10 |
| Feb | +2.09% | -1.51% | 40% | +21.8% | -14.2% | 10 |
| Mar | -1.08% | -0.57% | 50% | +3.7% | -8.8% | 10 |
| Apr | -2.40% | -3.91% | 30% | +20.1% | -14.4% | 10 |
| May | -0.54% | -2.08% | 30% | +12.3% | -6.0% | 10 |
| Jun | +5.40% | +4.98% | 60% | +19.6% | -3.9% | 10 |
| Jul | +3.75% | +4.21% | 80% | +21.7% | -12.4% | 10 |
| Aug | +4.15% | +0.53% | 50% | +25.6% | -5.2% | 10 |
| Sep | -2.24% | +0.28% | 50% | +6.2% | -15.3% | 10 |
| Oct | +3.13% | +0.94% | 60% | +19.3% | -16.9% | 10 |
| Nov | +0.35% | +0.97% | 56% | +9.9% | -9.7% | 9 |
| Dec | +0.32% | -1.80% | 40% | +13.3% | -11.9% | 10 |
Monthly returns heat map — ERIE
price return, %| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -1.3 | -4.8 | -6.7 | -12.9 | -2.7 | 12.5 | 1.0 | 5.6 | -14.2 | 19.3 | 4.5 | -4.7% | |
| 2025 | -2.2 | 6.2 | -2.1 | -14.4 | -0.0 | -3.3 | 2.7 | -0.5 | -10.2 | -8.0 | 1.0 | -3.0 | -30.5% |
| 2024 | 3.3 | 17.6 | -1.3 | -4.7 | -5.3 | -0.0 | 21.7 | 15.2 | 6.2 | -16.9 | -1.8 | -6.4 | +23.1% |
| 2023 | -1.8 | -3.7 | -1.6 | -6.2 | -1.5 | -1.9 | 5.7 | 25.6 | 5.4 | -6.0 | 7.0 | 13.3 | +34.7% |
| 2022 | -4.4 | -4.9 | 0.6 | -9.0 | 4.7 | 14.6 | 5.8 | 5.7 | 3.4 | 15.6 | 9.9 | -11.9 | +29.1% |
| 2021 | -1.0 | -0.4 | -8.8 | -3.1 | -6.0 | -3.9 | -4.4 | -4.2 | 0.8 | 15.3 | -9.7 | 3.7 | -21.6% |
| 2020 | 0.3 | -14.2 | 3.7 | 20.1 | 1.2 | 6.5 | 9.5 | 1.6 | -1.5 | 10.7 | -3.1 | 8.9 | +48.0% |
| 2019 | 9.8 | 21.8 | 0.2 | 6.0 | 12.3 | 19.6 | -12.4 | -1.6 | -15.3 | -0.7 | -8.1 | -1.9 | +24.5% |
| 2018 | -2.5 | -2.6 | 1.7 | -0.7 | -3.2 | 3.8 | 6.0 | -0.6 | 3.2 | 1.7 | 5.5 | -2.6 | +9.4% |
| 2017 | -0.3 | 5.8 | 3.5 | 0.9 | -4.9 | 6.2 | 1.9 | -5.2 | -0.2 | 0.2 | 2.6 | -1.6 | +8.3% |
| 2016 | 4.9 |