Seasonality
HCC seasonality — Warrior Met Coal, Inc.
Over the last 10 years, HCC's strongest month on average has been July (+6.6%) and its weakest March (-2.9%).
Average return by month
Month-by-month statistics
| Month | Avg | Median | Up % | Best | Worst | Yrs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | +4.74% | +5.25% | 78% | +19.2% | -10.7% | 9 |
| Feb | -1.64% | -6.04% | 44% | +20.2% | -16.7% | 9 |
| Mar | -2.87% | -0.87% | 44% | +17.8% | -40.1% | 9 |
| Apr | -1.01% | -3.54% | 44% | +18.2% | -17.0% | 9 |
| May | +1.62% | -0.60% | 50% | +16.9% | -16.7% | 10 |
| Jun | -0.55% | +0.54% | 60% | +18.8% | -14.2% | 10 |
| Jul | +6.61% | +6.43% | 70% | +27.6% | -6.2% | 10 |
| Aug | +5.47% | -0.44% | 50% | +36.3% | -15.5% | 10 |
| Sep | +1.27% | +4.01% | 60% | +29.1% | -18.6% | 10 |
| Oct | +3.36% | +1.40% | 50% | +30.6% | -12.2% | 10 |
| Nov | +2.44% | +5.39% | 56% | +16.1% | -15.4% | 9 |
| Dec | +5.85% | +8.93% | 78% | +22.4% | -22.9% | 9 |
Monthly returns heat map — HCC
price return, %| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1.3 | -6.8 | 11.9 | -3.5 | 5.2 | -14.2 | -2.2 | 36.3 | -18.6 | -2.4 | -2.1 | -4.6% | |
| 2025 | -2.7 | -8.8 | -0.9 | 0.2 | -5.0 | 0.8 | 12.1 | 19.0 | 4.1 | 6.6 | 15.4 | 12.6 | +62.6% |
| 2024 | 5.2 | -11.2 | 6.5 | 12.6 | 0.1 | -8.3 | 10.1 | -11.3 | 4.2 | -1.2 | 11.4 | -22.9 | -11.0% |
| 2023 | 9.3 | 1.0 | -4.1 | -5.8 | -5.2 | 18.8 | 13.6 | -10.6 | 29.1 | -4.6 | 14.9 | 8.9 | +76.0% |
| 2022 | 1.9 | 20.2 | 17.8 | -8.2 | -1.3 | -8.9 | 4.3 | 1.9 | -12.6 | 30.6 | -0.9 | -5.9 | +34.7% |
| 2021 | 8.0 | -16.7 | -10.6 | -7.5 | 15.5 | -6.0 | 8.6 | 19.9 | 3.9 | 3.0 | -10.3 | 19.6 | +20.6% |
| 2020 | -10.7 | -6.0 | -40.1 | 18.2 | 12.2 | 9.3 | 3.4 | -2.8 | 10.4 | -12.2 | 16.1 | 22.4 | +0.9% |
| 2019 | 19.2 | 1.9 | 3.8 | 2.0 | -16.7 | 1.2 | -5.3 | -15.5 | -6.6 | -0.2 | 5.4 | 2.9 | -12.4% |
| 2018 | 11.2 | 11.6 | -10.2 | -17.0 | 16.9 | 1.5 | -6.2 | -7.0 | 12.4 | 3.5 | -15.4 | 1.7 | -4.1% |
| 2017 | -5.5 | 0.2 | 27.6 | 24.8 | -13.6 | 10.4 | -14.6 | 13.2 |