Seasonality
MPC seasonality — Marathon Petroleum
Over the last 11 years, MPC's strongest month on average has been July (+7.1%) and its weakest December (-1.8%).
Average return by month
Month-by-month statistics
| Month | Avg | Median | Up % | Best | Worst | Yrs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | +5.45% | +6.66% | 80% | +12.3% | -9.5% | 10 |
| Feb | +2.53% | +2.63% | 60% | +26.6% | -13.0% | 10 |
| Mar | +1.84% | +5.49% | 60% | +23.2% | -50.2% | 10 |
| Apr | +2.35% | +1.69% | 70% | +35.8% | -9.8% | 10 |
| May | +2.08% | +3.83% | 70% | +17.0% | -24.4% | 10 |
| Jun | +1.12% | +1.67% | 60% | +21.5% | -19.2% | 10 |
| Jul | +7.06% | +4.73% | 90% | +23.8% | -8.6% | 10 |
| Aug | +2.38% | +3.70% | 70% | +18.0% | -12.7% | 10 |
| Sep | +2.43% | +5.10% | 60% | +23.4% | -17.3% | 10 |
| Oct | +2.43% | +3.20% | 70% | +14.4% | -11.9% | 10 |
| Nov | +3.20% | -0.61% | 44% | +31.8% | -7.7% | 9 |
| Dec | -1.78% | -0.60% | 40% | +7.1% | -16.1% | 10 |
Monthly returns heat map — MPC
price return, %| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 8.3 | 12.5 | 23.2 | 1.7 | 0.2 | 2.8 | 23.8 | 18.0 | 5.9 | 12.5 | -16.2 | +129.2% | |
| 2025 | 4.5 | 3.1 | -3.0 | -5.7 | 17.0 | 3.3 | 2.5 | 5.6 | 7.2 | 1.1 | -0.6 | -16.1 | +16.6% |
| 2024 | 11.6 | 2.2 | 19.1 | -9.8 | -2.8 | -1.8 | 2.0 | 0.1 | -8.0 | -10.7 | 7.3 | -10.7 | -6.0% |
| 2023 | 10.4 | -3.8 | 9.1 | -9.5 | -14.0 | 11.1 | 14.1 | 7.3 | 6.0 | -0.1 | -1.4 | -0.6 | +27.5% |
| 2022 | 12.1 | 8.5 | 9.8 | 2.1 | 16.6 | -19.2 | 11.5 | 9.9 | -1.4 | 14.4 | 7.2 | -4.5 | +81.9% |
| 2021 | 4.3 | 26.6 | -2.1 | 4.0 | 11.1 | -2.2 | -8.6 | 7.3 | 4.3 | 6.7 | -7.7 | 5.2 | +54.7% |
| 2020 | -9.5 | -13.0 | -50.2 | 35.8 | 9.5 | 6.4 | 2.2 | -7.2 | -17.3 | 0.6 | 31.8 | 6.4 | -31.4% |
| 2019 | 12.3 | -6.4 | -3.5 | 1.7 | -24.4 | 21.5 | 0.9 | -12.7 | 23.4 | 5.3 | -5.2 | -0.6 | +2.1% |
| 2018 | 5.0 | -7.5 | 14.1 | 2.5 | 5.5 | -11.2 | 15.2 | 1.8 | -2.8 | -11.9 | -7.5 | -9.4 | -10.6% |
| 2017 | -4.6 | 3.2 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 2.2 | 0.6 | 7.0 | -6.3 | 6.9 | 6.5 | 4.8 | 5.3 | +31.0% |
| 2016 | 7.1 |