Seasonality
MSM seasonality — MSC Industrial Direct
Over the last 11 years, MSM's strongest month on average has been November (+5.7%) and its weakest August (-2.3%).
Average return by month
Month-by-month statistics
| Month | Avg | Median | Up % | Best | Worst | Yrs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | -0.14% | -1.13% | 50% | +10.6% | -13.2% | 10 |
| Feb | +0.52% | +0.52% | 50% | +11.3% | -9.2% | 10 |
| Mar | -0.09% | -1.14% | 40% | +10.0% | -11.1% | 10 |
| Apr | -0.04% | -0.78% | 40% | +10.8% | -12.9% | 10 |
| May | +1.44% | +3.60% | 60% | +16.3% | -15.5% | 10 |
| Jun | +0.00% | +3.56% | 60% | +8.7% | -11.6% | 10 |
| Jul | +0.20% | +0.81% | 50% | +12.2% | -17.2% | 10 |
| Aug | -2.29% | -3.47% | 30% | +4.2% | -7.5% | 10 |
| Sep | +1.02% | +2.60% | 60% | +9.7% | -8.1% | 10 |
| Oct | +0.99% | -0.62% | 50% | +14.0% | -8.1% | 10 |
| Nov | +5.67% | +4.77% | 89% | +19.6% | -6.4% | 9 |
| Dec | -0.68% | +2.35% | 60% | +7.3% | -13.2% | 10 |
Monthly returns heat map — MSM
price return, %| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 0.3 | 11.3 | -1.7 | 10.8 | 7.0 | 8.7 | 3.7 | -3.7 | 4.1 | -2.2 | -6.4 | +34.7% | |
| 2025 | 7.7 | -0.1 | -3.4 | -1.5 | 6.2 | 4.7 | 1.9 | 4.2 | 2.1 | -7.8 | 4.8 | -5.5 | +12.6% |
| 2024 | -2.5 | 2.3 | -3.9 | -6.0 | -5.8 | -7.7 | 12.2 | -7.5 | 4.6 | -8.1 | 8.6 | -13.0 | -26.2% |
| 2023 | 1.2 | 2.2 | -0.6 | 8.0 | -0.9 | 6.0 | 5.9 | 1.1 | -3.8 | -3.5 | 2.8 | 3.9 | +23.9% |
| 2022 | -2.9 | -5.1 | 10.0 | -2.8 | 2.5 | -11.6 | 10.1 | -4.2 | -8.1 | 14.0 | 3.4 | -4.8 | -2.8% |
| 2021 | -8.1 | 11.0 | 4.7 | -0.0 | 4.7 | -5.0 | -0.6 | -5.6 | -4.8 | 4.8 | -6.4 | 6.8 | -0.4% |
| 2020 | -13.2 | -9.2 | -11.1 | 8.5 | 16.3 | 5.0 | -9.3 | -0.2 | -4.0 | 10.1 | 19.6 | 1.3 | +7.5% |
| 2019 | 8.5 | 1.1 | -2.0 | 1.1 | -15.5 | 5.1 | -4.3 | -4.8 | 7.3 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 6.9 | +2.0% |
| 2018 | -2.9 | -6.8 | 4.8 | -5.8 | 6.2 | -7.6 | -0.3 | 1.0 | 3.1 | -8.0 | 9.3 | -13.2 | -20.4% |
| 2017 | 10.6 | -1.5 | 2.2 | -12.9 | -6.2 | 2.4 | -17.2 | -3.3 | 9.7 | 9.7 | 8.7 | 7.3 | +4.6% |
| 2016 | 3.4 |