Seasonality
TOL seasonality — Toll Brothers
Over the last 11 years, TOL's strongest month on average has been November (+8.3%) and its weakest March (-5.5%).
Average return by month
Month-by-month statistics
| Month | Avg | Median | Up % | Best | Worst | Yrs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | +5.21% | +7.34% | 70% | +19.2% | -18.5% | 10 |
| Feb | -1.35% | -1.44% | 50% | +15.4% | -17.8% | 10 |
| Mar | -5.47% | -0.59% | 50% | +12.8% | -48.0% | 10 |
| Apr | +3.45% | +1.91% | 50% | +24.8% | -7.9% | 10 |
| May | +4.38% | +2.95% | 70% | +34.5% | -8.7% | 10 |
| Jun | +2.38% | +3.09% | 60% | +18.9% | -11.6% | 10 |
| Jul | +3.90% | +2.06% | 60% | +23.9% | -11.4% | 10 |
| Aug | +3.07% | +1.48% | 80% | +17.4% | -11.0% | 10 |
| Sep | -0.07% | -2.35% | 40% | +15.2% | -13.7% | 10 |
| Oct | +0.45% | -0.20% | 50% | +11.0% | -13.1% | 10 |
| Nov | +8.32% | +9.32% | 89% | +21.5% | -2.0% | 9 |
| Dec | +0.09% | -0.88% | 40% | +19.7% | -23.8% | 10 |
Monthly returns heat map — TOL
price return, %| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 6.9 | 8.8 | -13.2 | 4.2 | -2.5 | 18.9 | -11.4 | -1.7 | -6.1 | 8.3 | 7.1 | +15.6% | |
| 2025 | 7.8 | -17.8 | -5.4 | -4.5 | 3.4 | 9.5 | 3.7 | 17.4 | -0.6 | -2.3 | 3.6 | -3.3 | +7.4% |
| 2024 | -3.4 | 15.4 | 12.8 | -7.9 | 2.1 | -5.3 | 23.9 | 0.9 | 7.2 | -5.2 | 12.8 | -23.8 | +22.5% |
| 2023 | 19.2 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 6.5 | 5.9 | 16.8 | 1.6 | 2.0 | -9.7 | -4.4 | 21.5 | 19.7 | +105.9% |
| 2022 | -18.5 | -8.0 | -13.3 | -1.4 | 8.8 | -11.6 | 10.3 | -11.0 | -4.1 | 2.6 | 11.2 | 4.2 | -31.0% |
| 2021 | 17.6 | 4.5 | 6.2 | 10.5 | 4.0 | -11.4 | 2.5 | 8.1 | -13.7 | 8.8 | 5.5 | 14.1 | +66.5% |
| 2020 | 12.3 | -16.5 | -48.0 | 24.8 | 34.5 | 0.9 | 17.2 | 10.5 | 15.2 | -13.1 | 12.0 | -8.2 | +10.0% |
| 2019 | 12.2 | -3.6 | 1.7 | 5.2 | -8.7 | 5.3 | -1.8 | 0.6 | 13.4 | -3.1 | 1.0 | -1.6 | +20.0% |
| 2018 | -3.0 | -5.9 | -1.3 | -2.5 | -6.3 | -6.3 | -4.7 | 2.8 | -8.8 | 1.9 | -2.0 | -0.1 | -31.4% |
| 2017 | 1.2 | 8.9 | 5.8 | -0.3 | 2.6 | 7.0 | -2.3 | 1.0 | 6.4 | 11.0 | 9.3 | -4.6 | +54.9% |
| 2016 | 4.5 |