Seasonality
UPS seasonality — United Parcel Service
Over the last 11 years, UPS's strongest month on average has been November (+4.3%) and its weakest September (-3.8%).
Average return by month
Month-by-month statistics
| Month | Avg | Median | Up % | Best | Worst | Yrs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | -2.06% | -5.23% | 40% | +8.1% | -11.6% | 10 |
| Feb | -0.69% | +2.94% | 60% | +9.2% | -18.0% | 10 |
| Mar | -0.02% | +1.43% | 80% | +7.7% | -15.2% | 10 |
| Apr | -0.20% | -0.31% | 50% | +19.9% | -16.1% | 10 |
| May | -1.22% | -0.06% | 50% | +5.3% | -12.5% | 10 |
| Jun | +2.56% | +2.12% | 70% | +11.5% | -8.5% | 10 |
| Jul | +3.74% | +2.06% | 50% | +28.4% | -14.6% | 10 |
| Aug | +1.28% | +0.75% | 60% | +14.6% | -9.5% | 10 |
| Sep | -3.78% | -4.73% | 40% | +6.1% | -16.9% | 10 |
| Oct | +2.08% | -1.90% | 40% | +17.2% | -9.4% | 10 |
| Nov | +4.26% | +3.96% | 78% | +13.1% | -7.1% | 9 |
| Dec | -2.23% | -1.73% | 30% | +8.1% | -15.4% | 10 |
Monthly returns heat map — UPS
price return, %| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 7.1 | 9.2 | -15.2 | 10.6 | -1.9 | 0.8 | -3.0 | 0.0 | -10.3 | 15.8 | 0.1 | +9.2% | |
| 2025 | -9.4 | 4.2 | -7.6 | -13.4 | 2.4 | 3.5 | -14.6 | 1.5 | -4.5 | 15.4 | -0.7 | 3.5 | -21.3% |
| 2024 | -9.8 | 4.5 | 0.2 | -0.8 | -5.8 | -1.5 | -4.7 | -1.4 | 6.1 | -1.7 | 1.2 | -7.1 | -19.8% |
| 2023 | 6.5 | -1.5 | 6.3 | -7.3 | -7.1 | 7.3 | 4.4 | -9.5 | -8.0 | -9.4 | 7.3 | 3.7 | -9.6% |
| 2022 | -5.7 | 4.1 | 1.9 | -16.1 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 6.8 | -0.2 | -16.9 | 3.9 | 13.1 | -8.4 | -18.9% |
| 2021 | -8.0 | 1.8 | 7.7 | 19.9 | 5.3 | -3.1 | -8.0 | 2.2 | -6.9 | 17.2 | -7.1 | 8.1 | +27.3% |
| 2020 | -11.6 | -12.6 | 3.2 | 1.3 | 5.3 | 11.5 | 28.4 | 14.6 | 1.8 | -5.7 | 8.9 | -1.6 | +43.9% |
| 2019 | 8.1 | 4.5 | 1.4 | -4.9 | -12.5 | 11.1 | 15.7 | -0.7 | 1.0 | -3.9 | 4.0 | -2.2 | +20.0% |
| 2018 | 6.9 | -18.0 | 0.2 | 8.4 | 2.3 | -8.5 | 12.9 | 2.5 | -5.0 | -8.8 | 8.2 | -15.4 | -18.1% |
| 2017 | -4.8 | -3.1 | 1.5 | 0.1 | -1.4 | 4.4 | -0.3 | 3.7 | 5.0 | -2.1 | 3.3 | -1.9 | +3.9% |
| 2016 | -1.1 |