Growth & activity

US GDP Growth Rate

Real GDP grew at a 3.4% annual rate in Q3 2026, compared with 2.2% in Q2 2026. A year earlier (Q3 2025), the reading was 3.9%.

3.4%
+1.2 pp vs prior quarter
Q3 2026 · Quarterly data
Previous2.2%Q2 2026
A year earlier3.9%Q3 2025 · -0.5 pp
1-year high3.4%Q3 2026
1-year low0.2%Q4 2025
5-year high6.8%Q4 2021
5-year low-1.0%Q1 2022

Real GDP Growth: chart

Real GDP Growth, Q4 2023 to Q3 2026Bar chart from Oct 1, 2023 to Jul 1, 2026. Latest 3.4%; high 4.0% on Apr 1, 2025; low 0.1% on Jan 1, 2025.0%1%2%3%4%202420252026Q4 2023: 3.6%Q1 2024: 1.4%Q2 2024: 3.6%Q3 2024: 3.2%Q4 2024: 2.4%Q1 2025: 0.1%Q2 2025: 4.0%Q3 2025: 3.9%Q4 2025: 0.2%Q1 2026: 2.5%Q2 2026: 2.2%Q3 2026: 3.4%3.4%
Real GDP Growth, Q4 2021 to Q3 2026Bar chart from Oct 1, 2021 to Jul 1, 2026. Latest 3.4%; high 6.8% on Oct 1, 2021; low -1.0% on Jan 1, 2022.-2%0%2%4%6%8%20222023202420252026Q4 2021: 6.8%Q1 2022: -1.0%Q2 2022: 0.6%Q3 2022: 2.7%Q4 2022: 2.7%Q1 2023: 3.4%Q2 2023: 2.2%Q3 2023: 4.5%Q4 2023: 3.6%Q1 2024: 1.4%Q2 2024: 3.6%Q3 2024: 3.2%Q4 2024: 2.4%Q1 2025: 0.1%Q2 2025: 4.0%Q3 2025: 3.9%Q4 2025: 0.2%Q1 2026: 2.5%Q2 2026: 2.2%Q3 2026: 3.4%3.4%
Real GDP Growth, Q4 2016 to Q3 2026Bar chart from Oct 1, 2016 to Jul 1, 2026. Latest 3.4%; high 34.9% on Jul 1, 2020; low -28.0% on Apr 1, 2020.-40%-20%0%20%40%20182020202220242026Q4 2016: 2.2%Q1 2017: 2.0%Q2 2017: 2.3%Q3 2017: 3.2%Q4 2017: 4.6%Q1 2018: 3.3%Q2 2018: 2.1%Q3 2018: 2.5%Q4 2018: 0.6%Q1 2019: 2.5%Q2 2019: 3.4%Q3 2019: 4.8%Q4 2019: 2.8%Q1 2020: -5.2%Q2 2020: -28.0%Q3 2020: 34.9%Q4 2020: 4.6%Q1 2021: 6.2%Q2 2021: 7.1%Q3 2021: 3.2%Q4 2021: 6.8%Q1 2022: -1.0%Q2 2022: 0.6%Q3 2022: 2.7%Q4 2022: 2.7%Q1 2023: 3.4%Q2 2023: 2.2%Q3 2023: 4.5%Q4 2023: 3.6%Q1 2024: 1.4%Q2 2024: 3.6%Q3 2024: 3.2%Q4 2024: 2.4%Q1 2025: 0.1%Q2 2025: 4.0%Q3 2025: 3.9%Q4 2025: 0.2%Q1 2026: 2.5%Q2 2026: 2.2%Q3 2026: 3.4%3.4%

Real GDP, % change from the prior quarter at a seasonally adjusted annual rate.

Latest readings

Quarterly data
QuarterGrowth (annualized)Change (pp)
Q3 20263.4%+1.2
Q2 20262.2%-0.3
Q1 20262.5%+2.3
Q4 20250.2%-3.7
Q3 20253.9%-0.1
Q2 20254.0%+3.9
Q1 20250.1%-2.3
Q4 20242.4%-0.8
Q3 20243.2%-0.4
Q2 20243.6%+2.2
Q1 20241.4%-2.2
Q4 20233.6%-0.9
Q3 20234.5%+2.3
Q2 20232.2%-1.2
Q1 20233.4%+0.7
Q4 20222.7%0.0
Q3 20222.7%+2.1
Q2 20220.6%+1.6
Q1 2022-1.0%-7.8
Q4 20216.8%+3.6
Q3 20213.2%-3.9
Q2 20217.1%+0.9
Q1 20216.2%+1.6
Q4 20204.6%-30.3

pp = percentage points.

Frequently asked questions

What is the latest US GDP growth rate?

Real GDP grew at a 3.4% annual rate in Q3 2026, compared with 2.2% in Q2 2026. A year earlier (Q3 2025), the reading was 3.9%.

What does annualized GDP growth mean?

It is the quarter-over-quarter growth rate compounded over four quarters, showing what the pace would be if it lasted a full year. The annualized figure is therefore roughly four times the raw change from one quarter to the next.

Do two negative quarters of GDP mean a recession?

It is a popular rule of thumb, not the official definition. In the US, recessions are dated by the National Bureau of Economic Research's Business Cycle Dating Committee, which looks at a broad range of indicators such as employment, income, spending and industrial production.

Why can stocks rise when GDP growth is weak?

Stock prices look ahead, while GDP describes a quarter that has already ended. Markets often bottom while the economic data are still deteriorating, and they also respond to interest rates, which tend to fall when growth weakens.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis, via FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (series A191RL1Q225SBEA). Data checked Nov 6, 5:40 PM ET. Not investment advice.