First Watch sets growth targets through 2028 and drops fixed unit-count growth rates for later years
First Watch posted an investor presentation with annual growth targets through 2028, including total revenue growth of 10% to 13% and adjusted EBITDA growth of 15% or more. The company said rising interest rate risk and near-term cash benefits outweigh committing to specific unit growth rates in out years, and it expects positive free cash flow beginning in 2027.
Key points
- Targets through 2028: same restaurant sales growth of 2% to 4%, total revenue growth of 10% to 13%, and adjusted EBITDA growth of 15% or more
- Positive free cash flow expected beginning in 2027 and increasing each year after
- On track to open approximately 55 systemwide restaurants in 2027
- No longer committing to specific unit count growth rates in out years
The filing
Written by AI on Nov 9, 2026, 11:43 AM ET, from this filing only. Written later: this filing was briefed after the fact, when past filings were added to the site, so the brief may be read with hindsight; the filing itself is the record of what was known on November 03, 2026.
Briefs are written by AI from the filing text and can contain mistakes — open the filing before acting on anything. Impact (1-5) and tone are the AI's reading of the filing for shareholders, not a price forecast. Not investment advice.